Markets
Kalshi odds sway voters even when they distrust them
A Brennan Center for Justice study finds Kalshi odds shift voter perceptions of election winners, even among sceptics.
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Markets.
What the odds & the prediction markets are pricing: the moves, the volumes & why a price changed, each story with the exchange's or the sportsbook's own numbers.
Showing 37–48 of 80 articles in Markets.
Markets
Sportsbook handle grows 43% & outpaces prediction market taker volume
Prediction market volume jumped 64% in September but sportsbooks grew faster, according to Stifel.
Markets
Kalshi’s market share slips to 79% as rivals gain ground
Prediction markets topped $82bn in September trading but grew slower than regulated sportsbooks, Stifel finds.
Markets
Kalshi does $19bn in one week, mostly sports, not politics
Kalshi's $19bn trading week was driven by sports parlays, not elections, & the real cash spent was far lower.
Markets
Mendoza’s rookie timeline: Kalshi’s market keeps pushing it back
A Kalshi market prices Raiders rookie Fernando Mendoza's chance of never starting this season at 25%.
Markets
Oklahoma tribe chief denies Kalshi partnership is real
Alabama-Quassarte Tribal Town's chief says the tribe never partnered with Kalshi, contradicting Kalshi's own announcement.
Markets
Robinhood & Cboe win SEC nod for KPI options on 23 firms
Robinhood & Cboe got SEC approval to list options tied to company performance metrics, but Robinhood's stock tumbled this week.
Markets
Polymarket’s Ethiopia & Romania markets rack up $600m post-result
Polymarket saw over $600m traded on two election markets after the results were already decided, with experts calling it manipulation.
Markets
Midterm election betting volume more than doubles 2024’s $92m
Bettors have wagered more than $220m on November's midterms across Kalshi & Polymarket, more than double the 2024 cycle total.
Markets
Robinhood to list bets on Nvidia & Tesla earnings data
The SEC has approved Cboe's corporate KPI event contracts for launch on Robinhood.
Markets
Google writes prediction markets into its ad rulebook
Google has published its first dedicated advertising policy for prediction market operators.
Markets
Oscar winner Bigelow directs Polymarket’s election ads
Polymarket has launched its first US political ad campaign, with two spots directed by Oscar winner Kathryn Bigelow.