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Kalshi valuation up 20x in a year to $40bn

Published: 1 min read
Kalshi valuation up 20x in a year to $40bn

The prediction market’s valuation would nearly double from its $22bn May raise.

The hit

Kalshi is in advanced talks to raise about $1bn at a roughly $40bn valuation, according to a Reuters report citing people familiar with the matter. Tiger Global Management & Dragoneer Investment Group are among the investors considering the round, with Sequoia Capital & Wellington Management reportedly in talks to lead it.

Why it matters

The jump shows how fast investor expectations around prediction markets have risen. Kalshi is positioning itself as a broader trading venue, pushing into stock & financial-event contracts that put it in closer competition with established exchanges & draw increasing regulatory attention.

The record

Prior valuation $22bn after a $1bn raise in May
Earlier valuation $2bn in June 2025 after a $185m Paradigm-led round
Weekly notional volume up roughly tenfold over the prior year (Reuters Breakingviews)
Rival Polymarket valuation about $21bn after a 1789 Capital-led round (Bloomberg)

What happens next

The round could close in the coming weeks, according to Reuters. CEO Tarek Mansour has said an IPO is under consideration, but not in 2026.

Sources: Kalshi seeks $1B as valuation nearly doubles to $40B

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